Förbättrade BNP-siffror under årets första och andra kvartal är, enligt tidningen El País, en stark drivkraft bakom de höjda förväntningarna. Turismens återhämtning och en stabil export har bidragit till den oväntat starka tillväxten, trots svagare konsumtion och långsiktiga investeringsutmaningar.
Centralbankens senaste rapport pekar dock på flera risker. Privatkonsumtionen har varit svag, särskilt i höginkomsthushåll, och företagens investeringar ligger fortfarande under nivåerna före pandemin. Arbetsmarknaden visar vidare tecken på stagnation, med långtidsarbetslöshet på över en miljon personer.
Framöver förväntar sig Banco de España en nedtrappning av tillväxttakten, med BNP-ökningar på 2,2 procent år 2025 och 1,9 procent år 2026. Det finns också ett behov av strukturella reformer för att säkra de offentliga finanserna, särskilt genom ett transparent och snabbt genomfört finanspolitiskt justeringsprogram.
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Förväntningarna för den spanska tillväxten i år närmar sig treprocentsstrecket. Foto: Shutterstock
Dela:
Tillväxtprognosen höjs kraftigt på nytt
Publicerad 2024-10-06 07:00EKONOMI Den spanska centralbanken Banco de España har skrivit upp sin prognos för Spaniens ekonomiska tillväxt i år till 2,8 procent, vilket är en halv procentenhet högre än den tidigare uppskattningen.
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